And the data's not as interesting as I had hoped. I wanted the data sliced and diced by discount level, school size, etc. Oh well, let's see if I can tease any information out of this paucity of data.
First, the bottom line: The total possible C2 demand is $5.8 billion. That's in line with earlier calculations. I wonder if it might not be a little low, as some small applicants who have been scared off by the huge pile of paperwork (and huger pile of rules) may stop in to get their dollop of C2 gravy.
On the whole, applicants requested only 28% of the total possible C2 demand. So thanks to rollover, the FCC didn't even have to up collections to the new $3.9 billion cap. I'd like to speculate on what C2 demand will be like next year, but I don't really have any good indicators. My gut says slightly less demand than this year, but I'm just guessing.
What can we tell about who's getting the money? Let's see.... What's the total budget/site for each row? The C2 budget is $126,243.59/site for those who requested their entire budget. Those are some large, high-discount schools. If they were all 85% schools, then the average enrollment would be 990 students/school. If they were all 40% schools, the average enrollment would be 2,104 students/school. NCES says the average school has 517 students. Only about 10% of schools have more than 900 kids. Check out this table of average enrollment size taken from an NCES report (page A-5).
Urbanicity | Elementary | Middle | Secondary |
Total | 424 | 569 | 825 |
Urban | 528 | 528 | 1,313 |
Suburban | 492 | 492 | 1,197 |
Rural | 354 | 463 | 577 |
So we can safely say that there is no way that many rural schools applied for their full discount. And no way that many 40% schools used up their full budget.
Once you get below that top row, the numbers aren't so stark. Sites that requested some funding (but not their full budget) had average per-site C2 budgets in the $56,000-$59,000 range, which means that they tend to be larger and/or higher-discount schools, but there could be a significant number of smaller, lower-discount schools. Schools that requested no funding had an average budget of $36,344.77.
So as you'd expect, the schools that stood to get more funding were more likely to apply.
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